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OPEC Monthly Report: Keep the global economic growth forecast unchanged at 3% in 2025 and 3.1% in 2024. We will raise the US economic growth forecast from 2.1% to 2.2% in 2025 and from 2.7% to 2.8% in 2024.Goldman Sachs: "According to our basic forecast, the tanker freight will drop slightly in the next few years, but if the diversion of tankers in the Red Sea and Russia ends, the tanker freight will further drop by 30%."OPEC monthly report, second-hand data show that Russia's crude oil output fell to 899.4 million US dollars/day last month; Libya's crude oil production in November increased by 141,000 barrels per day to 1.24 million barrels per day. Saudi Arabia's crude oil production in November fell by 10,000 barrels per day to 8.96 million barrels per day; Iraq's crude oil production in November decreased by 45,000 barrels per day to 4.04 million barrels per day; Iran's crude oil production in November increased by 37,000 barrels per day to 3.32 million barrels per day; Iraq's crude oil production in November decreased by 45,000 barrels per day to 4.04 million barrels per day; The crude oil output of the United Arab Emirates increased by 0.4 million barrels per day in November to 2.958 million barrels per day; Libya's crude oil production in November increased by 141,000 barrels per day to 1.238 million barrels per day. Kuwait's crude oil production in November decreased by 11,000 barrels per day to 2.408 million barrels per day; Kazakhstan's crude oil production in November increased by 202,000 barrels per day to 1.5 million barrels per day; Kuwait's crude oil production in November decreased by 11,000 barrels per day to 2.408 million barrels per day; Iraq's crude oil production in November decreased by 45,000 barrels per day to 4.04 million barrels per day.

The news before the US stock market was delivered by express delivery. ① The three major stock index futures of the US stock market were mixed, and the market held its breath for CPI tonight. ② As of press time, Dow futures fell by 0.13%, S&P 500 futures rose by 0.11%, and Nasdaq futures rose by 0.22%. (3) Germany's DAX index rose 0.08%, Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.08%, France's CAC40 index rose 0.07%, and Europe's Stoxx 50 index fell 0.07%. ④WTI crude oil rose 1.04% to $69.30/barrel. Brent crude oil rose 0.97% to $72.89/barrel. 90% economists predict that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. 6 Goldman Sachs is firmly bullish on gold: the price of gold can also rise to $3,000 under a strong dollar. ⑦ Many houses fell by about 6.5% before the market opened, and the company announced that it would raise $7 million by selling shares. ⑧ Yihang's smart market rose by more than 1%. In the news, Shenzhen has built the world's leading low-altitude economic industry ecology. 9 Macy's fell 12% before the market, and the company lowered its profit forecast for the fiscal year.General Administration of Customs: According to the People's Republic of China (PRC) Ship Tonnage Tax Law, the Maritime Agreement between the Government of People's Republic of China (PRC) and the Government of the Republic of Liberia and the relevant notice of the Ministry of Finance, from December 11, 2024 to December 10, 2029, the taxable ships of the Republic of Liberia will be subject to the preferential tax rate of ship tonnage tax.Jon Finer, US Deputy National Security Adviser: (When asked about the prospect of the Gaza peace agreement before Biden's term ends) After the cease-fire of Hezbollah, this matter has gained new vitality. Biden wants to end the Gaza war and return the hostages to their homes. We will send officials to the Middle East in the next few weeks. The talks will focus on how to take the hostages home. This is the goal of this government in the remaining weeks.

An attack on a minibus in Haiti caused 8 deaths and 10 injuries. On December 10, local time, Haitian police released a report saying that a minibus was attacked by gangs in Deluge, Artibonite province on the 9 th, causing 8 deaths and 10 injuries, including 8 serious injuries. (CCTV)EIA: The net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% in 2025. The us energy information administration (EIA) said on Tuesday that it is expected that the net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% to 1.9 million barrels per day next year, which will be the lowest level since 1971, suggesting that the output of the United States will increase and the demand of refineries will decrease. EIA said in its Short-term Energy Outlook in December that the US oil production is expected to increase from 13.24 million barrels per day in 2024 to 13.52 million barrels per day in 2025. EIA also said that the crude oil processing capacity of refineries will be 16 million barrels per day in 2025, a decrease of 200,000 barrels per day compared with 2024. EIA now predicts that the average spot price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $73.58 per barrel, which is lower than the previous forecast of $76.06 per barrel. The average spot price of crude oil in the United States is $69.12 per barrel, which is lower than the last forecast of $71.60 per barrel.The winning bid rate of US 3-year Treasury bonds is slightly higher than the pre-issue trading level. The winning bid rate of US Treasury issued US$ 58 billion 3-year Treasury bonds is 4.117%, and the pre-issue trading level was 4.116% when the bidding closed at 1 pm new york time. The previous round of selling increased the yield by nearly 4 basis points. The market's response to the bidding results is minimal, and the yield of each term is still close to the intraday high. Primary dealers were allocated 15.1%, lower than the previous one; The proportion of direct bidders was increased to 20.7%, and the proportion of indirect bidders was reduced to 64.2%. The bid multiple is 2.58 times, and the average of the previous six times is 2.56 times.